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	<title>Comments on: The Analogists</title>
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	<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/</link>
	<description>The Big Questions &#124; Tackling the Problems of Philosophy with Ideas from Mathematics, Economics, and Physics</description>
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		<title>By: iceman</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46705</link>
		<dc:creator>iceman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Mar 2012 15:01:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46705</guid>
		<description>@Harold:  The ‘50% extra’ isn’t being spent on primary care.  But certainly poverty is a social problem, and typically the subject of its own system of transfer payments…er, maybe we should call this “income insurance” (and mandate that everyone buy a policy)?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Harold:  The ‘50% extra’ isn’t being spent on primary care.  But certainly poverty is a social problem, and typically the subject of its own system of transfer payments…er, maybe we should call this “income insurance” (and mandate that everyone buy a policy)?</p>
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		<title>By: Henri Hein</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46638</link>
		<dc:creator>Henri Hein</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Mar 2012 06:09:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46638</guid>
		<description>@Harold: I plead guilty to mentioning life expectancy first, but I still think you are too fixated on costs while ignoring the benefits.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Harold: I plead guilty to mentioning life expectancy first, but I still think you are too fixated on costs while ignoring the benefits.</p>
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		<title>By: Harold</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46587</link>
		<dc:creator>Harold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 22:45:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46587</guid>
		<description>Iceman:  I think some would say that pockets of poverty sufficiently large to reduce the average life expectancy by that amount, given at least 50% more healthcare spending, indicates a failure somewhere in the system.  If it is not healthcare costs, there is a big failure somewhere else.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Iceman:  I think some would say that pockets of poverty sufficiently large to reduce the average life expectancy by that amount, given at least 50% more healthcare spending, indicates a failure somewhere in the system.  If it is not healthcare costs, there is a big failure somewhere else.</p>
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		<title>By: iceman</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46571</link>
		<dc:creator>iceman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 21:04:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46571</guid>
		<description>On your point about adverse selection, I first thought of the fairly simple, routine medical testing my life insurer periodically requires.  I also noticed that Arrow’s concern about asymmetric information focused on the opposite direction:  “Because medical knowledge is so complicated, the information possessed by the physician as to the consequences and possibilities of treatment is necessarily very much greater than that of the patient.”  
[Another interesting excerpt:  “Hypothetically, insurance requires for its full social benefit a maximum possible discrimination of risks.”]

On innovation and free-riding, not sure what the best measure is but to me the larger point isn’t necessarily where a company happens to be located, but that they’re able to sell profitably to the largest economy in the world.  As someone else mentioned, the big Swiss pharma companies are not supporting their research with sales to the tiny and price-controlled Swiss market.

And I know life expectancy wasn’t ‘your’ issue, but crude comparisons on measures like these can obscure the fact that the US is more heterogeneous than most other developed countries.  E.g. I’ve heard the unfavorable infant mortality comparisons are entirely due to pockets of poverty in the southern states.  I’m puzzled why amid all the data I never see comparisons made between, say, Canada and just northern states (which would seem to automatically control for many other potential factors).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On your point about adverse selection, I first thought of the fairly simple, routine medical testing my life insurer periodically requires.  I also noticed that Arrow’s concern about asymmetric information focused on the opposite direction:  “Because medical knowledge is so complicated, the information possessed by the physician as to the consequences and possibilities of treatment is necessarily very much greater than that of the patient.”<br />
[Another interesting excerpt:  “Hypothetically, insurance requires for its full social benefit a maximum possible discrimination of risks.”]</p>
<p>On innovation and free-riding, not sure what the best measure is but to me the larger point isn’t necessarily where a company happens to be located, but that they’re able to sell profitably to the largest economy in the world.  As someone else mentioned, the big Swiss pharma companies are not supporting their research with sales to the tiny and price-controlled Swiss market.</p>
<p>And I know life expectancy wasn’t ‘your’ issue, but crude comparisons on measures like these can obscure the fact that the US is more heterogeneous than most other developed countries.  E.g. I’ve heard the unfavorable infant mortality comparisons are entirely due to pockets of poverty in the southern states.  I’m puzzled why amid all the data I never see comparisons made between, say, Canada and just northern states (which would seem to automatically control for many other potential factors).</p>
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		<title>By: Harold</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46494</link>
		<dc:creator>Harold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 13:14:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46494</guid>
		<description>Henri Hein.  I posted the life expectancy graph in response to a comment about life expectancy.  I did not raise the issue, I responded to it.  The graph shows a rough correlation between spending and life expectancy, except the USA, which is way out of line. This could be due to two broad reasons- anomalous spending, or anomalous life expectancy.  Whilst either is possible, the spending seems the more likely candidate to me. 


Ken:  My link may be partisan, but is stronger than your link showing that nearly 100% of medical innovation is from the USA.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Henri Hein.  I posted the life expectancy graph in response to a comment about life expectancy.  I did not raise the issue, I responded to it.  The graph shows a rough correlation between spending and life expectancy, except the USA, which is way out of line. This could be due to two broad reasons- anomalous spending, or anomalous life expectancy.  Whilst either is possible, the spending seems the more likely candidate to me. </p>
<p>Ken:  My link may be partisan, but is stronger than your link showing that nearly 100% of medical innovation is from the USA.</p>
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		<title>By: Ken</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46446</link>
		<dc:creator>Ken</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 05:21:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46446</guid>
		<description>Harold,

&lt;i&gt;As the Council for American Medical Innovation says: “Unfortunately, America is losing its competitive edge to countries that have made innovation a priority. Singapore, Sweden, Luxembourg, Denmark and South Korea now outrank the U.S.”&lt;/i&gt;

So to clarify, you didn&#039;t link to anything that gives you know actual numbers, but a policy platform dedicated to lining their own pockets using tax payer money (larger federal dollars stuffed into their pockets), increased monopoly power (strengthening &quot;intellectual&quot; property laws), failed policies (more funding more PreK-12 &quot;education&quot; system), and a LOT of empty platitudes?  Ha!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Harold,</p>
<p><i>As the Council for American Medical Innovation says: “Unfortunately, America is losing its competitive edge to countries that have made innovation a priority. Singapore, Sweden, Luxembourg, Denmark and South Korea now outrank the U.S.”</i></p>
<p>So to clarify, you didn&#8217;t link to anything that gives you know actual numbers, but a policy platform dedicated to lining their own pockets using tax payer money (larger federal dollars stuffed into their pockets), increased monopoly power (strengthening &#8220;intellectual&#8221; property laws), failed policies (more funding more PreK-12 &#8220;education&#8221; system), and a LOT of empty platitudes?  Ha!</p>
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		<title>By: Henri Hein</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46445</link>
		<dc:creator>Henri Hein</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 05:10:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46445</guid>
		<description>@Harold: &quot;I didn’t raise life expectancy&quot;

You posted a chart with health-care expenditures vs. life expectancies.  If I ignore the life expectancy axis, there is only expenditures left.  That sounds like you only care about how much the US spends, not on what the results are.  I&#039;m not sure that is what you intended, but I don&#039;t know how else to interpret your comments.

&quot;This tells us nothing about the relative costs of USA healthcare&quot;

Relative to the past, Americans spend more and they live longer.  You implied the inverse.

&quot;And most of these USA will score very well on&quot;

Incorrect.

&quot;Do you seriously believe that USA health care is not overpriced&quot;

How do you measure overpriced? The USA spends more and gets more.  Other countries spend less and get less.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Harold: &#8220;I didn’t raise life expectancy&#8221;</p>
<p>You posted a chart with health-care expenditures vs. life expectancies.  If I ignore the life expectancy axis, there is only expenditures left.  That sounds like you only care about how much the US spends, not on what the results are.  I&#8217;m not sure that is what you intended, but I don&#8217;t know how else to interpret your comments.</p>
<p>&#8220;This tells us nothing about the relative costs of USA healthcare&#8221;</p>
<p>Relative to the past, Americans spend more and they live longer.  You implied the inverse.</p>
<p>&#8220;And most of these USA will score very well on&#8221;</p>
<p>Incorrect.</p>
<p>&#8220;Do you seriously believe that USA health care is not overpriced&#8221;</p>
<p>How do you measure overpriced? The USA spends more and gets more.  Other countries spend less and get less.</p>
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		<title>By: Harold</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46367</link>
		<dc:creator>Harold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2012 15:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46367</guid>
		<description>Henri Hein.  I didn&#039;t raise life expectancy.  The striking thing about that graph is not just that USA scores not too well on life expectancy, but that it scores so very highly in costs.  For most other countries there is an approximate correlation.
  
&quot;As health care expenditures have increased in the US, so has results, even by the crude measure of life expectancy.&quot;
This tells us nothing about the relative costs of USA healthcare.

&quot;there are many inputs to the life expectancy measure, only some of which are health-care related&quot;.  And most of these USA will score very well on, such as wealth etc.

Do you seriously believe that USA health care is not overpriced compared to other countries?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Henri Hein.  I didn&#8217;t raise life expectancy.  The striking thing about that graph is not just that USA scores not too well on life expectancy, but that it scores so very highly in costs.  For most other countries there is an approximate correlation.</p>
<p>&#8220;As health care expenditures have increased in the US, so has results, even by the crude measure of life expectancy.&#8221;<br />
This tells us nothing about the relative costs of USA healthcare.</p>
<p>&#8220;there are many inputs to the life expectancy measure, only some of which are health-care related&#8221;.  And most of these USA will score very well on, such as wealth etc.</p>
<p>Do you seriously believe that USA health care is not overpriced compared to other countries?</p>
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		<title>By: Henri Hein</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46291</link>
		<dc:creator>Henri Hein</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2012 03:10:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46291</guid>
		<description>@Harold: &quot;In the case of the USA, it seems that a decrease in life expectancy costs an exponential increase in spending.&quot;

There is a line between being facetious and being silly, and I am pretty sure you crossed it.  As health care expenditures have increased in the US, so has results, even by the crude measure of life expectancy.

There is a paucity of data that makes it difficult to measure health-care outcomes.  The chart showing the different countries&#039; life expectancies does not tell us that much about their respective health-care systems, since there are many inputs to the life expectancy measure, only some of which are health-care related.  What data we do have does suggest the US system outperforms the others.  For instance, Japanese men living in California live longer than Japanese men living in Japan.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Harold: &#8220;In the case of the USA, it seems that a decrease in life expectancy costs an exponential increase in spending.&#8221;</p>
<p>There is a line between being facetious and being silly, and I am pretty sure you crossed it.  As health care expenditures have increased in the US, so has results, even by the crude measure of life expectancy.</p>
<p>There is a paucity of data that makes it difficult to measure health-care outcomes.  The chart showing the different countries&#8217; life expectancies does not tell us that much about their respective health-care systems, since there are many inputs to the life expectancy measure, only some of which are health-care related.  What data we do have does suggest the US system outperforms the others.  For instance, Japanese men living in California live longer than Japanese men living in Japan.</p>
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		<title>By: vernon</title>
		<link>http://www.thebigquestions.com/2012/03/14/the-analogists/comment-page-2/#comment-46262</link>
		<dc:creator>vernon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Mar 2012 23:10:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thebigquestions.com/?p=7183#comment-46262</guid>
		<description>@Steve Landsburg:

&gt;&gt;&quot;I believe that you (and possibly those you are quoting)&quot;

By the way, I&#039;m quoting the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services&#039; &quot;AHRQ,&quot; the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.

&gt;&gt;&quot;I believe that you (and possibly those you are quoting) are confusing costs with expenditures.&quot;

Why?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Steve Landsburg:</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;&#8221;I believe that you (and possibly those you are quoting)&#8221;</p>
<p>By the way, I&#8217;m quoting the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services&#8217; &#8220;AHRQ,&#8221; the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;&#8221;I believe that you (and possibly those you are quoting) are confusing costs with expenditures.&#8221;</p>
<p>Why?</p>
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